Probability Example

Probability Example

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Q.2

In a lot of pen drives three are defective.  A customer picks four pen drives simultaneously  from the lot

at random . Find the probability of the pen drives selected will not be defective where the lot size is 30?

Solution :

The  required probability =  (the number of ways choosing four pen drives  which are not defective )/(total number of ways of choosing four pen drives)

we can use combination in such case;

Out of 30 there are three defectives pen drives that means 27 are non defective or o.k.

Now combination of selecting four object at a time out of 27.

i.e.  27 C 4

By solving this we get    27!/(4!( 27-4)! )  = (27 x 26 x 25  x  24 x 23!)/(4 x 3 x 2 x 1 x 23!  )

=  (27 x 26 x 25  x  24 x 23!)/(4 x 3 x 2 x 1 x 23!  )

=  17550

Total Number of ways of selecting four objects out of 30 ;

i.e. 30C 4 ;   solving this we get    30! /(4!( 30-4)! )  = (30 x 29 x 28  x  27 x 26!)/(4 x 3x2x1 x 26!  )  = (30 x 29 x 28  x  27 x 26!)/(4 x 3x2x1 x 26!  )

= 27405

The desired  Probability  = 17550/27405

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